Before the Great Recession in 2007, the Fed’s rate was more than twice that level.And the widening budget deficit, on track to hit $1 trillion by 2022, also leaves the government with little room to maneuver.”It is very uncharacteristic very unusual to be running larger budget deficits every year,” said Tim Quinlan, an economist at Wells Fargo. “The federal government is not in a very strong position to offer a fiscal response in the event that it’s needed.”Consumers could also pull back on spending later this year if hiring slows and wage gains slow. Employers have already reduced, on average, the number of hours worked for employees in the second quarter, which cuts into paychecks.And if Trump imposes tariffs on all $300 billion of Chinese goods by mid December, as he says he plans to do, American consumers will pay more for such things as laptops, cellphones, video game consoles and clothing.At the same time, many economists say they think consumers can withstand the headwinds.
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